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Tuesday, February 8, 2011

There are reasons for rebellion


Mohammed Bouazizi, suicide by immolation in Sidi Bouzid Tunisia
 
It's the nature of politics, domestic and international, that in an interconnected world, what occurs in one area will sooner or later, directly or indirectly, affect other areas.

Having knowledge of what's happening and an understanding of how and why it is happening helps one forecast a future trend and avoid the unpleasant and the negative that lies ahead.

But many disregard the compelling desire of men and women to seek freedom, forget that there can be no lasting peace without the establishment of broad-based human rights. The 1948 Universal Declaration of Human Rights contained the warning -- that without the rule of law to protect human rights, man has no alternative but to rebel against oppression.

Since the declaration, many rebellions have occurred, many autocracies have fallen and some forms of democracy have emerged.

Quest for dignity

Columnist David Brooks wrote in the Jan. 31 New York Times about a "great mental tide" that has swept across the world: People who had accepted "certain fixed places in the social order," began to think they must no longer be ignored, and they march "for responsive government and democracy" -- themes echoed by protesters in Cairo today.


Brooks presented some lessons learned: Those who tolerate autocrats for the sake of stability are ill informed; autocracies are more fragile than any other form of government; those who say speeches by outsiders have no influence on places like Egypt have it backward, as it's the climate of opinion that is the basis of the revolt; most countries that have experienced uprisings end up better off; though public hunger for dignity is unabated, the road from autocracy to democracy is rocky and perilous; outside powers must help democrats build governments that work.

He wrote: "Over the past decades, there has been a tide in the affairs of men and women. People in many places have risked their lives for recognition and respect. Governments may lag, and complications will arise, but still they will march. And, in the long run, we should be glad they do."

Revolution

It's hard to believe that an underprivileged 26-year-old Tunisian street vendor, who had pushed his wheelbarrow to sell produce since he was 10 in an unknown, poor agrarian area, sent an autocratic ruler of 23 years fleeing the country, and unleashed a tsunami of revolutionary fervor that keeps dictators near and far guessing.

He was Mohamed Bouazizi of Tunisia's hardscrabble town of Sidi Bouzid, about 200 miles south of the capital of Tunis. Bouazizi quit high school to work full-time to help his mother, uncle and six siblings.

On Dec. 17, 2010, something happened: Faida Hamdy, 45, an inspector, questioned Bouazizi over a permit. She confiscated his fruit, which Bouazizi wrestled to get back from Hamdy. She allegedly slapped him in the face in public, while two of her colleagues beat him and took away his electronic scale.

Embarrassed and angry, Bouazizi went to the municipal building to retrieve his wares. There, he was beaten again.

He then walked into the governor's office and asked to see the governor to lodge his complaint. He reportedly said he would set himself afire if refused. An audience was refused.

Bouazizi obtained some bottles of paint thinner, doused and lit himself on fire on the street in front of the governor's gated office. His self-immolation triggered small local riots that spread like wildfire to Tunisia's cities, including the capital.

Tunisians protested massively against the government for corruption, poor living conditions, high unemployment, repression.

Ten days later, President Ben Ali, ruler since 1987, fled Tunis for Saudi Arabia.

The Tunisian revolt emboldened young people in other countries, such as in Egypt today, to proclaim, "Yes, we can, too!"

Deeper problems

On the surface, Hamdy had done little more than humiliate a man, something that she may have done at other times. The subsequent "investigation" found she hadn't slapped the vendor. Her brother, Fawzy Hamdy, said he was thrilled to be among the first to join the protests in Sidi Bouzid, but also said he didn't believe his sister had slapped Bouazizi. "It's the lie that toppled a dictator," he said.

Sidi Bouzid is a poor town, ignored for years by Tunis. Tunisia's official unemployment rate is 14 percent, but Sidi Bouzid's is higher than 30 percent, with rampant corruption, nepotism and cronyism. Sidi Bouzid, like neighboring towns, is home to young, idle, jobless, underemployed and poor Tunisians, who roam the cafes, smoke and play the card game, "rami." Some intoxicate themselves with moonshine.

President Ben Ali rarely visited Sidi Bouzid. When he did, local officials busily paved roads, planted full-grown trees, painted the youth center and added skateboard ramps and ping pong tables reserved for "people with connections."

In the Jan. 30 Washington Post, Sudarsan Raghavan described Tunisia as the "personal treasure chest" of Ben Ali and wife, Leila Trabelsi, and their families. For example, Trabelsi was selling a Tunisian island and shutting down a highly regarded private school to promote her own. Ben Ali's son-in-law owned many luxury car dealerships and lucrative businesses. The Ben Ali and Trabelsi families controlled companies and real estate holdings, "sometimes taken by force."

As one reflects on that 1948 warning in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, it seems entirely clear why Tunisia was ripe for revolt. It is remarkable only that it took so long.

Denouncing the Thai army aggression: Opinion by Khem Khieu

 
Click on the article in Khmer to zoom in

High farce at the Thai-Cambodian border

BANGKOK, Thailand – It’s not so much High Noon as High Farce at the Thai-Cambodia border.

The current border spat would be almost laughable if it were not for the suffering it’s inflicting on villagers on both sides of the disputed frontier, thousands of whom have been forced from their homes.

The conflict ostensibly is about the ownership of an 11th century temple called Preah Vihear, described by UNESCO as an “outstanding masterpiece of Khmer architecture.”

But in reality it has more to do with the sorry state of Thai politics than an ancient Hindu relic.

Arguing over a 1962 decision

The area in dispute was quieter Tuesday after four days of skirmishes between the Thai and Cambodian armies that are reported to have killed several people and damaged the very temple they claim to hold so dear.


Both sides have blamed each other for starting the conflict.

The two countries have argued over their border for years, though the World Court was supposed to have put the temple dispute to rest in 1962 when it was awarded to Cambodia.

Thailand grudgingly accepted the ruling, but the two countries have continued to squabble over land surrounding the temple.

The spat would probably have remained low key had the issue not been embraced by Thailand's "yellow shirt" nationalist movement, whose more hard line members are demanding Thailand take the temple – and much else – by force.

‘Yellow shirts’ take center stage, again

The yellow shirts are formally known as the People’s Alliance for Democracy (PAD), they are middle-class denizens looking to protect their own interests – a vocal minority in a country where most people are poor farmers.

They shot to prominence when they led street protests in 2008 that were instrumental to bringing down the then-Thai government (remember the occupation of Bangkok’s airports?).

The current Thai administration of Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva owes its existence to them, and there are strong links between the yellow shirts and members of his party (the foreign minister is a former yellow shirt supporter).

In 2008, the yellow shirts were backed by Thailand's royalist elite and the Bangkok middle class. More recently, its influence has waned and the movement has split. The border agitation is being led by a nastier rump, which is organizing fresh anti-government protests – in effect, turning on the government it helped create.

Even before the current flare-up, the yellow shirts sent their own supporters on provocative incursions across the border.

The prime minister, though now an object of their scorn, appears unwilling to stand up to them, though their border crusade seems to enjoy little popular support. Instead, he has been upping his own nationalist rhetoric.

This may be partly realpolitik. The red shirt opposition movement supposedly vanquished in an army crackdown last year is back on the streets with large protests, the size of which have shaken Abhisit and his army backers.

Elections are due later this year, and Abhisit may think wrapping himself in the flag is a useful electoral tactic.

Army may flex its muscles

The army itself is the real power in Thailand, its clout enhanced by last year’s red shirt crackdown. Some 89 people died during the upheaval.

The royalist yellow shirts have had strong links to the army, which now has a new commander who isn't shy in his contempt for elected politicians.

It’s significant that the Thai army began an artillery barrage last Friday just as Thailand's foreign minister was sitting down for talks in Cambodia.

There have been dark murmurings about the possibility of yet another military coup, a "coup to end coups," as one newspaper described it. That's dangerous mumbo-jumbo to most people, but the fact that some are taking it seriously is a sad reflection on Thailand's politics.

It’s against this background that the border drama is being played out.

The yellow shirts are threatening to take their protests to the border Friday, though local Thai village leaders have made it known they are not welcome.

Cambodia waits it out

Meanwhile, Cambodia’s Prime Minister Hun Sen appears to be enjoying himself. He is a veteran political street-fighter, always happy to pick a fight with his bigger neighbor.

He is now calling for outside intervention, apparently aware that the weight of international law appears to be with Cambodia.

Thailand has often been applauded for its deft and low key diplomacy. Not this time, and the kingdom risks being labeled as a petulant regional bully, its prime minister in thrall to yellow-shirted extremists and an unaccountable army.

On Thai - Cambodia, UNSC Defers to ASEAN's Natalegawa, UN Replacement?

UNITED NATIONS, February 8 -- Despite a request from Cambodia's prime minister Hun Sen for a UN Security Council meeting on the fighting with Thailand, the Council on Monday did not schedule a meeting, deferring instead to the mediation of Indonesia's foreign minister Marty Natalegawa, for ASEAN.

Inner City Press, which reported before the Council's consultations on the matter that two countries wanted to hold a meeting, is now told that in the consultations, Russia spoke in favor of having a meeting, saying this is what the Council is for.

As Russian Permanent Representative Vitaly Churkin left the Council on Monday, Inner City Press asked him about the Council having a meeting on Cambodia's request. We are not against it, he replied.

Inner City Press then asked the Council's president Maria Luiza Ribeiro Viotti if Hun Sen's public request that the UN establish a buffer zone around the Preah Vihear temple.

No, she answered, that request had not been made to the Council. Meanwhile, Thailand's prime minister Abhisit Vejjajiva has said he will call UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon on Tuesday.


Natalegawa was previously Indonesia's permanent representative to the UN, and knows the system well. His successor on January 31 told Inner City Press that ASEAN led by Indonesia is trying to get Western sanctions on Myanmar lifted, while getting Myanmar to agree to an ASEAN envoy to that country.

Some expect Natalegawa to be able to keep the Thai - Cambodia issue off of the Council's formal agenda, by the withdrawal of Cambodia's request just as a similar request was withdrawn in 2008, when Viet Nam was president of the Council. But for now the fighting has continued.

A buzz at the UN this week concerns the open dissatisfaction with Ban by several countries, including veto-wielding Security Council member Russia. If Ban were denied a second term, as the US denied one to Boutros-Boutros Ghali, the next five or ten years would be seen as belonging to the Asia group, just as Kofi Annan replaced Boutros for the African group.

What higher profile and more adept replacement could there be from the Asia group, some say, than Natalegawa? Watch this site.

On Thai - Cambodia, UN Moves for Monday Council Meeting, With ASEAN

 
UN's Ban & Marty Natalegawa: UN replacement?
UNITED NATIONS, February 8 -- A day after the UN Security Council did not act on Cambodia's request for a Council meeting, late Tuesday agreement emerged to hold the requested meeting on Monday, February 14.

To make clear that the UN is deferring to the regional group ASEAN, its mediator between Thailand and Cambodia Marty Natalegawa will be invited to come and speak.

Meanwhile Secretary General Ban Ki-moon told the Press on Tuesday that he had spoken with the prime ministers of Thailand and Cambodia. Some wonder why Ban isn't mediating, or even asked to mediate, under UN Charter Article 99.

Natalegawa was previously Indonesia's Permanent Representative to the UN, and some now mentioned him for higher, even the highest, UN position.

Footnote: also in Council consultations Tuesday, discussion was had of a Council trip to the Middle East. Watch this site.

U.S. demands immediate end to Egypt's emergency law

 
President Barack Obama addresses the U.S. Chamber of Commerce in Washington, February 7, 2011.
Credit: Reuters/Jim Young
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The United States on Tuesday set out four steps Cairo must take to end Egypt's crisis, telling its ally to stop harassing protesters and immediately repeal an emergency law allowing detention without charge.

The Obama administration appears worried President Hosni Mubarak's government will not make meaningful changes in the largest Arab nation, a strategic U.S. partner due to its peace treaty with Israel and control of the Suez Canal.

The steps, conveyed by Vice President Joe Biden to Egyptian Vice President Omar Suleiman, appeared to rebuff the former intelligence chief who is negotiating with opposition figures seeking Mubarak's immediate departure after 30 years in power.

Suleiman was quoted on Sunday as suggesting Egypt was not ready for democracy and a government statement said the emergency law would be lifted "according to the security conditions" -- a phrase giving the authorities wide latitude.


As Egyptians staged one of their biggest anti-Mubarak protests yet, White House spokesman Robert Gibbs described Suleiman's comments about democracy as "unhelpful."

Mubarak, under pressure from more than two weeks of unprecedented demonstrations, has said he will not seek re-election in September but has refused to resign.

After Biden spoke to Suleiman by telephone on Tuesday, the White House issued a statement listing four steps the United States wants Egypt to take:

-- "Restraining the Ministry of Interior's conduct by immediately ending the arrests, harassment, beating, and detention of journalists, and political and civil society activists, and by allowing freedom of assembly and expression;

-- "immediately rescinding the emergency law;

-- "broadening participation in the national dialogue to include a wide range of opposition members; and,

-- "inviting the opposition as a partner in jointly developing a roadmap and timetable for transition."

'IRREVERSIBLE PROGRESS'

Biden stressed U.S. support "for an orderly transition in Egypt that is prompt, meaningful, peaceful, and legitimate" and urged "immediate, irreversible progress that responds to the aspirations of the Egyptian people," the statement said.

Even as Washington voiced its criticism, Defense Secretary Robert Gates praised Egypt's military for its restraint.

The armed forces -- long the backbone of Egypt's government -- have behaved in "an exemplary fashion" by standing largely on the sidelines during the uprising, he said.


"I would say that they have made a contribution to the evolution of democracy and what we're seeing in Egypt," Gates told a news conference.

The praise for the military, which gets about $1.3 billion in U.S. aid every year, appeared designed to buttress U.S. ties with a power broker whose role is expected to be key to whatever political order emerges in Egypt.

U.S. officials do not believe the military was responsible for widespread violence against protesters last week, including men on horseback who rode into Cairo's Tahrir Square brandishing whips, although the army failed to stop it.

The U.S. decision to support the transition effort under Suleiman and to stop short of calling for Mubarak's resignation has angered many demonstrators.

An influential group of U.S. analysts said Washington risked condoning "an inadequate and possibly fraudulent transition."

"The process that is unfolding now has many of the attributes of a smokescreen," the Working Group on Egypt, which includes a number of prominent think tank analysts and rights activists, said in letters this week to President Barack Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.

(Additional reporting by Andrea Shalal-Esa and Patricia Zengerle; writing by Andrew Quinn; editing by John O'Callaghan and Mohammad Zargham)

Cambodian Revenue Watchdog Group Announces Landmark Business Survey

Survey reveals business owners' perspective on oil, gas and mining on Cambodian economy

PHNOM PENH, Cambodia -- Cambodians for Resource Revenue Transparency (CRRT) will announce results of its landmark business survey on the state of oil, gas and mining in Cambodia and its effects on the general business climate on Feb. 15, 2011 at the Hotel Cambodiana.

"This important survey will help all Cambodians better understand the level of knowledge about oil, gas and mining throughout the country," said Mam Sambath, CRRT chairman. "Because it is a scientific survey of the entire country, the survey will also help civil society and the Royal Government of Cambodia understand how business in Cambodia feels about these important sectors and their effects on business in general."

CRRT a coalition of civil society organizations with four members: API, DPA, NGO Forum and YRDP, is working to ensure that wealth generated from the extractive industries is managed in a socially responsible manner that is transparent, accountable, and participatory to equitably benefit all Cambodians.



The survey, conducted in conjunction with the Economic Institute of Cambodia, reflects the attitudes and opinions of business owners of small to medium sized businesses nationwide.

The survey sample represents concentrations of small and medium-sized businesses (between five and 100 employees) in the most populous Cambodian provinces of Phnom Penh, Battambang, Kampong Cham and Sihanouk Ville, as well as from 13 other provinces. The survey includes businesses from manufacturing, services and trade, according to Peoulida Ros from EIC, who added that 548 senior executives (president/manager, administration/accounting or owner) were interviewed.

Some 67% of respondents to the detailed personal interviews were female, and 96% of businesses represented employ fewer than 50 people.

Respondents had fairly good awareness in general of the presence of oil and mining enterprise in Cambodia (60%), but little awareness of gas development (23%). Moreover, most respondents listed the environment as a priority area of impact from oil, gas and mining, followed by Cambodian people, the general business environment and their own, specific business.

Meanwhile, respondents also represented a consensus on how to manage revenues derived from oil, gas and mining. Some 86% recommended that at least some revenue derived from oil, gas and mining should be reserved for Cambodia's future, and 81% of respondents endorsed the idea of establishing an independent committee to manage oil, gas and mining revenues. Nearly 50% of the respondents recommended the potential revenue from oil, gas and mining should be used to improve infrastructure in Cambodia which will benefit both business activities and the Cambodian public in general.

"We hope this survey will help the Royal Government of Cambodia make important decisions about the oil, gas and mining sectors as they work to create fair and equitable policy that will affect all Cambodians for the foreseeable future," said Sambath. "We also think the survey will prove a valuable benchmark for future research to determine how Cambodians feel about the effects these important sectors have on the quality of life in Cambodia for business people and for all Cambodians."

Complete results of the survey will be released to the public during the Feb. 15 conference.
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